------------------------------------------------------ "LUMBERJACK" BAYESIAN SPOOF LYRICS (by Jeffrey Rosenthal ... to the tune of the Monty Python "Lumberjack" song) CHORUS: Oh, I'm a Bayesian, and I'm okay I sleep all night and compute all day I quantify uncertainty With probability VERSES: On Wednesdays I teach inference As a decision tree I hope all of my students Will turn out just like me I go ISBA meetings They really make me think Should I lie on the beach now Or have another drink I started my own journal To read throughout the days I'll publish any paper That somewhere mentions "Bayes" I'll always be a Bayesian I don't play any games When Frequentists come near me I call them nasty names Oh, if you read my papers And disagree with me Then I will just ignore you That's "subjectivity" I always have a prior On everything I please Right now I know the log odds That you're about to sneeze -------------------------------------------- VALENCIA (by Gareth Roberts ... to the tune of "New York, New York") Start spreading the news, I'm leaving today I want to be a part of it -- Valencia My Bayesian friends are coming to stay Right through the very heart of it -- Valencia I wanna wake up, in a conference, that doesn't sleep And find my talk was a hit, top of the heap. These frequentist blues, are melting away I'll make a brand new start of it -- in Valencia If I.S.B.A.'s there, there's no need, to dispair It's up to you, Va...len...ci...a Valen...cia! (piano solo) I want to wake up in a conference, that never sleeps And find I'm "A" number one, my talk was a hit My model did fit, I conned them a bit! (modulate one full tone up) These frequentist blues, are melting away I'm glad I was a part of it, in Valencia If I give a poster there, I'll be well known, everywhere It up to you, Va...len...ci...a Valen...cia! -------------------------------------------- WHAT A BAYESIAN WORLD (by Jeffrey Rosenthal ... to the tune of "What a Wonderful World") I want A given B But know B given A So I flip it around The other way And I think to myself What a Bayesian world! I know what I know Then see what I see And update my thoughts Conditionally And I think to myself What a Bayesian world! Bridge: I go for a walk And feel the sun's rays Everyone smiles Sayin', "I love Bayes" Yes I form opinions From the data, it's true But I had opinions Before that, too (piano solo) (repeat Bridge) I take the probability Of A intersect B And divide by P Of all of B And I think to myself What a Bayesian world! Yes I think to myself What a Bayesian world! -------------------------------------------- The Number (to the tune of "The Boxer" by Paul Simon) (lyrics by Paul Weiss, Pat Kilgo, and Lance Waller) I am arbitrary but my story's often told That Fisher, in his wisdom, came away with several tables only Pearson sold The legend goes, Of the columns that he borrowed Only one in twenty holds Of the columns, only one in twenty holds. Now the fundamental question is, "How strange is strange enough?" To reject the null hypothesis needs more rigidity than "5%'s enough." It seems unwise, Basing all these big decisions With no room for compromise And it's all because of these two grumpy guys. Point Oh-Five! p is less than point oh-five, Point Oh-Five! and significance arrives at Point Oh-Five! While writing their proposal we become their only friends We work all night for peanuts, but when the funding comes around the friendship ends. We do report All the hours we have spent Not stopping short Hmm hmm hmm hmm hmm hmm Point Oh-Five! it's the reason we're alive, Point Oh-Five! Just like drones inside the hive at Point Oh-Five. As I'm filling out my billing sheet, reporting my lost hours I'm alone, when all the ACTSI researchers start calling me (*note* ACTSI is the CTSA at Emory) Calling me. Leave me alone... In the courtyard a statistician with a laptop by his side, In the darkness, running SAS jobs, Making power calculations for his sample size. He cries out, in his anger and his shame, "We'll need hundreds, maybe thousands, or this difference is the same!" It's still the same... at Point Oh-Five. At Point Oh-Five! another study down the drain, Point Oh-Five! significance is not attained at... Point Oh-Five! That PI has got a frown, Point Oh-Five! `Cos his grant is going down, thanks Point-Oh Five --------------------------------------------